Selection of Strategic Pathways for the Comprehensive Development of Peru through the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP)

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.37385/jaets.v7i2.9213

Keywords:

Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), comprehensive development, Multi-Criteria Decision-Making, Public Policy, Strategic Prioritization

Abstract

This study prioritizes strategic pathways for Peru’s comprehensive development using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). It addresses a methodological gap in development planning research by applying a unified multicriteria framework to compare heterogeneous national policy pathways that are often assessed separately. Four alternatives were evaluated: science and technology, tourism, infrastructure, and anemia reduction. The decision model included four criteria—economic impact, social impact, sustainability, and feasibility—based on pairwise judgments from a multidisciplinary panel of four experts in economics, civil engineering, public health, and sustainable tourism. The results showed that economic impact was the dominant criterion (0.518), followed by social impact (0.255), feasibility (0.169), and sustainability (0.057). The criteria matrix achieved acceptable consistency (CR = 0.047). After aggregating local and global priorities, science and technology ranked first (0.366; 36.6%), followed by tourism (0.270; 27.0%), infrastructure (0.243; 24.3%), and anemia reduction (0.122; 12.2%). A sensitivity analysis showed that the ranking remained stable under moderate variations in criterion weights. The study provides a transparent and replicable AHP-based framework for intersectoral prioritization and a practical analytical tool for development policy discussion in Peru.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Abdullah, A. G., Setiorini, A. H., Dwitasari, N. A., Hakim, D. L., & Aziz, M. (2021). Location suitability analysis for wind farm exploitation using fuzzy analytic hierarchy process. Indonesian Journal of Science and Technology, 6, 523–534. https://doi.org/10.17509/ijost.v6i3.38957

Akhrouf, M., Medjamia, H., & Bessou, M. (2023). AN AHP-BASED APPROACH TO SELECTING A PRIORITY PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION MODE FOR INVESTMENT. International Journal of the Analytic Hierarchy Process, 15, 1–23. https://doi.org/10.13033/IJAHP.V15I3.1150

Aldossary, N. A., Alghamdi, J. K., Alzahrani, A. A., Alqahtany, A., & Alyami, S. H. (2023). Evaluation of Planned Sustainable Urban Development Projects in Al-Baha Region Using Analytical Hierarchy Process. Sustainability, 15(7). https://doi.org/10.3390/su15076020

Aljabri, B., Aburas, H. M., Alkahtani, M., Almalki, A., & Alharthy, A. (2024). Methodological approaches in prioritizing municipal projects: A case study of the municipality of the holy capital (Makkah). JIPD, 8(15), 9664-. https://doi.org/10.24294/jipd9664

Alvarez, P. A., Ishizaka, A., & Martínez, L. (2021). Multiple-criteria decision-making sorting methods: A survey. Expert Syst. Appl., 183. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2021.115368

Apantaku, G. O., Kapiriri, L., Norheim, O. F., de Azevedo, I. C. C., Kim, D., Hensher, M., Ananthapavan, J., Bhopal, A., MacNeill, A. J., Sherman, J. D., & Mitton, C. (2025). Priority Setting in the Context of Planetary Healthcare. Applied Health Economics and Health Policy 2025 23:6, 23(6), 935–945. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40258-025-00980-x

Azzini, I., & Munda, G. (2025). Sensitivity and Robustness Analyses in Social Multi‐Criteria Evaluation of Public Policies. Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis, 32(1). https://doi.org/10.1002/mcda.70006

Bolaños-Cano, S., Coy-Mejía, J. A., & Peña-Orozco, D. L. (2025). Integrating the Analytic Hierarchy Process, the Preference Ranking Method, and Stakeholder Analysis: A Methodological Guide for Strategic Decision-Making in Organizations. Ingeniería e Investigación, 45(2), e114973. https://doi.org/10.15446/ing.investig.114973

Bregvadze, A. B. A., & Davitaia, B. D. B. (2024). Application of the Analytical Hierarchy Process Method in Financing the Regional Development Problem on the Example of a Customer Company. Economics, 106(11–12), 48–54. https://doi.org/10.36962/ecs106/11-12/2024-48

Canco, I., Kruja, D., & Iancu, T. (2021). AHP, a Reliable Method for Quality Decision Making: A Case Study in Business. Sustainability, 13(24). https://doi.org/10.3390/su132413932

Chaube, S., Pant, S., Kumar, A., Uniyal, S., Singh, M. K., Kotecha, K., & Kumar, A. (2024). An Overview of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis and the Applications of AHP and TOPSIS Methods. International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences, 9(3), 581–615. https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2024.9.3.030

Cruz, A., & Hoyos, J. M. C. (2024). APPLICATION OF AHP FOR THE EVALUATION OF PUBLIC POLICY IN THE ATTENTION TO THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC, THE CASE OF MEXICO. International Journal of the Analytic Hierarchy Process, 16(1). https://doi.org/10.13033/ijahp.v16i1.992

da Silva, E. G., Moreira, F. R., Georg, M. A. C., dos Santos, R. R., Ribeiro Júnior, L. A., & Nunes, R. R. (2025). Binary Decision Support Using AHP: A Model for Alternative Analysis. Algorithms, 18(6). https://doi.org/10.3390/a18060320

Dinh, T. H., & Nguyen, T. T. D. (2024). An integrated multi-criteria decision-making approach for life cycle approach in road construction projects. Journal of Infrastructure, Policy and Development, 8. https://doi.org/10.24294/jipd.v8i9.6926

Dobričić, M., Šljivović, M., & Cvetković, M. (2023). Applying Multi-Criteria Decision-Making in Prioritizing Strategies for Developing Protected Natural Areas and Their Ecotourism: the Case of Uvac, Serbia. Polish Journal of Environmental Studies, 32, 1083–1090. https://doi.org/10.15244/pjoes/156827

Herlitz, A. (2024). Incommensurability and healthcare priority setting. Philosophical Studies 2024 181:12, 181(12), 3347–3365. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11098-024-02160-4

Herrera-Catalán, P., Chasco, C., & Royuela, V. (2025). Prioritising infrastructure investments based on agglomeration externalities: A methodological framework with evidence from Peru. Papers in Regional Science, 104(4), 100104. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pirs.2025.100104

Instituto Nacional de Estadística e Informática. (2024). DIT_ENDES_2024.

Instituto Nacional de Estadística e Informática (INEI). (2024). Indicadores de Resultados Perú: Encuesta Demográfica y de Salud Familiar.

Khan, M. R., Alam, M. J., Tabassum, N., & Khan, N. A. (2022). A Systematic Review of the Delphi–AHP Method in Analyzing Challenges to Public-Sector Project Procurement and the Supply Chain: A Developing Country’s Perspective. Sustainability, 14(21). https://doi.org/10.3390/su142114215

Kriswardhana, W., Toaza, B., Esztergár-Kiss, D., & Duleba, S. (2025). Analytic hierarchy process in transportation decision-making: A two-staged review on the themes and trends of two decades. Expert Syst. Appl., 261. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2024.125491

Kumar, R., & Pamucar, D. (2025). A Comprehensive and Systematic Review of Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) Methods to Solve Decision-Making Problems: Two Decades from 2004 to 2024. Spectrum of Decision Making and Applications, 2(1), 177–196. https://doi.org/10.31181/sdmap21202524

Li, Y., He, X., Martínez, L., Zhang, J., Wang, D., & Liu, X. A. (2024). Comparative analysis of three categories of multi-criteria decision-making methods. Expert Syst. Appl., 238. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2023.121824

Lu, Y., Huang, H., Zhang, Z., Tao, Q., Gong, J., & Mei, Z. (2025). Integrating DEA and AHP for Optimizing Rural Road Network Planning Under the Common Prosperity Framework: A Case Study of Yueqing City. Sustainability, 17(10). https://doi.org/10.3390/su17104697

Madanchian, M., & Taherdoost, H. (2025). Applications of Multi-Criteria Decision Making in Information Systems for Strategic and Operational Decisions. Comput., 14(6). https://doi.org/10.3390/computers14060208

Mawardi, A. D., & Ardianti, I. M. (2025). Infrastructure Development Priority Analysis of Road Networks Using the AHP Method (Study Case: Inter-District Capital Connector in Mesuji Regency, Lampung). Journal of Engineering Innovation and Management Science, 1(1), 25–39. https://doi.org/10.64780/jeims.v1i1.3

Moslem, S., Saraji, M. K., Mardani, A., Alkharabsheh, A., Duleba, S., & Esztergar-Kiss, D. (2023). A Systematic Review of Analytic Hierarchy Process Applications to Solve Transportation Problems: From 2003 to 2022. IEEE Access, 11, 11973–11990. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2023.3234298

Nitin Liladhar Rane, A. A. S. P. C. (2023). MULTI-CRITERIA DECISION-MAKING (MCDM) AS A POWERFUL TOOL FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT: EFFECTIVE APPLICATIONS OF AHP, FAHP, TOPSIS, ELECTRE, AND VIKOR IN SUSTAINABILITY. International Research Journal of Modernization in Engineering Technology and Science. https://doi.org/10.56726/irjmets36215

OECD. (2025). Regional Development Policy in Peru. OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/66979f16-en

Rawat, S. S., Pant, S., Kumar, A., Ram, M., Sharma, H. K., & Kumar, A. (2022). A State-of-the-Art Survey on Analytical Hierarchy Process Applications in Sustainable Development. International Journal of Mathematical, Engineering and Management Sciences, 7(6), 883–917. https://doi.org/10.33889/IJMEMS.2022.7.6.056

Saaty, T. L. (1984). The Analytic Hierarchy Process: Decision Making in Complex Environments. In Quantitative Assessment in Arms Control (pp. 285–308). Springer US. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-2805-6_12

Sahoo, S. K., & Goswami, S. S. (2023). A Comprehensive Review of Multiple Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) Methods: Advancements, Applications, and Future Directions. Decision Making Advances, 1(1), 25–48. https://doi.org/10.31181/dma1120237

Sandoval, A., Requelme, N., & Cachipuendo, C. (2025). Multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) methodology for the prioritization of technical irrigation projects. Water Policy, 27(8), 804–822. https://doi.org/10.2166/wp.2025.304

Sari, R., Kurniastuti, I., & Sulistiyani, E. (2024). Comparative Analysis of Prioritization Model Between AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) and ANP (Analytic Network Process) for Project Portfolio Management SI/IT Surabaya City Government. Applied Technology and Computing Science Journal, 6(2), 88–95. https://doi.org/10.33086/atcsj.v6i2.5208

Sebayang, I. N., Lindawati, & Badaruddin. (2024). Prioritizing Infrastructure Development to Boost Regional Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Simalungun Regency, Indonesia. Asian Journal of Advanced Research and Reports, 18(7), 90–102. https://doi.org/10.9734/ajarr/2024/v18i7688

Solis-Luis, F., Poma-Castellanos, G., Victoria-Quinto, D., & Sotelo-de Mendiola, R. (2025). Management Model and Strategies for Sustainable Development in Peruvian Smallholder Communities. Sustainability 2025, Vol. 17, 17(22). https://doi.org/10.3390/su172210077

Sousa, M., Almeida, M. F., & Calili, R. (2021). Multiple Criteria Decision Making for the Achievement of the UN Sustainable Development Goals: A Systematic Literature Review and a Research Agenda. Sustainability, 13(8). https://doi.org/10.3390/su13084129

Stofkova, J., Krejnus, M., Stofkova, K. R., Malega, P., & Binasova, V. (2022). Use of the Analytic Hierarchy Process and Selected Methods in the Managerial Decision-Making Process in the Context of Sustainable Development. Sustainability, 14(18). https://doi.org/10.3390/su141811546

Suriadi, N. A., Priadmodjo, A., Gomes, L. M., Nurlaela, & Tasrif, A. A. (2025). Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) : A Strategy to develop Disaster Resilient Tourism Priority in Indonesia. Journal of Applied Engineering and Technological Science (JAETS), 6(2), 970–983. https://doi.org/10.37385/jaets.v6i2.7251

Szabo, Z. K., Szádoczki, Z., Bozóki, S., Stanciulescu, G. C., & Szabo, D. (2021). An Analytic Hierarchy Process Approach for Prioritisation of Strategic Objectives of Sustainable Development. Sustainability 2021, Vol. 13, 13(4), 1–26. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13042254

Taherdoost, H., & Madanchian, M. (2023). Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) Methods and Concepts. Encyclopedia 2023, Vol. 3, Pages 77-87, 3(1), 77–87. https://doi.org/10.3390/encyclopedia3010006

Tavana, M., Soltanifar, M., & Santos-Arteaga, F. J. (2023). Analytical hierarchy process: revolution and evolution. Annals of Operations Research, 326(2), 879–907. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-021-04432-2

Tosulpa, M. E., Putranto, L. S., & Sulistyorini, R. (2026). Road damage management model due to overloading: AHP priorities and policy implications (Case study of Lampung Province). Advance Sustainable Science, Engineering and Technology (ASSET), 8(1), 02601015. https://doi.org/10.26877/asset.v8i1.2629

Vélez, C. M., Aguilera, B., Kapiriri, L., Essue, B. M., Nouvet, E., Sandman, L., & Williams, I. (2022). An analysis of how health systems integrated priority-setting in the pandemic planning in a sample of Latin America and the Caribbean countries. Health Research Policy and Systems, 20(1), 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1186/S12961-022-00861-Y

Wang, Z., Rangaiah, G. P., & Wang, X. (2021). Preference Ranking on the Basis of Ideal-Average Distance Method for Multi-Criteria Decision-Making. Industrial and Engineering Chemistry Research, 60(30), 11216–11230. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.iecr.1c01413

Wei, Y. M. (2025). A Hybrid Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Framework for the Strategic Evaluation of Business Development Models. Inf., 16(6). https://doi.org/10.3390/info16060454

Westgard, C. M., Orrego-Ferreyros, L. A., Calderón, L. F., & Rogers, A. M. (2021). Dietary intake, intestinal infection, and safe drinking water among children with anemia in Peru: a cross-sectional analysis. BMC Nutrition 2021 7:1, 7(1), 11-. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40795-021-00417-3

World Bank. (2025). Peru: Seizing opportunities for growth and prosperity: Country Economic Memorandum.

Zaheb, H., Obaidi, O., Mukhtar, S., Shirani, H., Ahmadi, M., & Yona, A. (2024). Comprehensive Analysis and Prioritization of Sustainable Energy Resources Using Analytical Hierarchy Process. Sustainability 2024, Vol. 16, 16(11). https://doi.org/10.3390/su16114873

Zhao, T., Yu, L., Jiang, X., Yang, S., Zhang, X., Zhang, M., Zhang, Y., Yan, T., Wu, H., & Xu, F. (2025). Construction of a public health practice teaching quality evaluation system based on the CIPP model using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and entropy weight method. BMC Medical Education, 25(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12909-025-06943-z

Downloads

Published

2026-06-15

How to Cite

Flor-Cunza, H., Chavez, J. R., De la Cruz-Vasquez, A. ., Sanchez-Huapaya, P., & Velasquez-Jimenez, L. (2026). Selection of Strategic Pathways for the Comprehensive Development of Peru through the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). Journal of Applied Engineering and Technological Science (JAETS), 7(2), 1531-1549. https://doi.org/10.37385/jaets.v7i2.9213